載舟覆舟!Crypto、PayPal走勢大相逕庭 比特幣是罪魁禍首

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PayPal (PYPL-US) 和 Square (SQ-US) 都靠比特幣吸引顧客使用其 app 並維持其參與度,但兩家股價走勢卻大相逕庭,自從比特幣一個月前開始下跌以來,Square 股價就表現不佳。

如果加密貨幣持續熊市,兩家股價可能都會苦不堪言,但 Square 可能會面臨更多壓力,部分原因是該公司在散戶投資者中與比特幣的聯繫更為緊密。

兩種支付 app 都可輕鬆買賣和儲值加密貨幣,PayPal 在其 app 上提供數種加密貨幣,而 Square 只供應比特幣。這兩家作法像經紀人,賺取的是每筆交易的手續費和利潤。

來自加密貨幣的營收淨額並非其整體業務的大部分。MoffettNathanson 分析師 Lisa Ellis 指出,PayPal 今年營收約只因加密貨幣交易增加 2%,在營收總額 260 億美元中僅占 3 億至 6 億美元。

Square 第一季營收總額 51 億美元,其中比特幣營收 35 億美元。Square 的會計方式是:扣除購買比特幣的成本,在當季 9.64 億美元毛利總額中,只計入這些交易 7500 萬美元的毛利。

雖然加密貨幣的獲利非常微薄,但這兩家支付公司都將加密貨幣交易視為攏絡顧客並提高 app 參與度的一種手段。

Ellis 指出,「他們的加密貨幣用戶一天會多次打開 app 確認價格,這就讓公司有機會出售其他服務。」

Square 與加密貨幣聯繫更緊密,但部分原因是其創辦人兼執行長 Jack Dorsey 是加密貨幣狂粉,近日也曾在推特上表示,「比特幣使一切變得更好。」Square 過去幾季資產負債表上認列投資比特幣 2.2 億美元,現已對該投資進行減值。

加密貨幣低迷顯然對 Square 的影響更大。在過去的一個月中,Square 股價下跌約 17%,而 PayPal 股價僅下跌 4%。

但加密貨幣並非 Square 唯一苦痛來源,投資者逃離高倍數成長股的浪潮也重創 Square,反映投資者在價格上反映預期上升的通膨,這點會降低未來收益的現值。

根據未來 12 個月的估算,Square 現行股價是企業價值倍數 (EV/Ebitda) 的 113 倍,PayPal 則為 43 倍,對比其他同業如 Visa (V-US) 和 Mastercard (MA-US) 僅 27 倍至 30 倍。

Ellis 談到 PayPal 和 Square 時說,「他們是我兩家長期最愛的支付公司,但實際考慮上來說,機構投資者如果擔憂長期通膨,就會對這些高倍數股覺得反感。」

隨著比特幣價格的飆升,投資者也迷戀上這些股票,但水能載舟也會覆舟,如今比特幣和其他加密貨幣恐怕也是令他們憂心忡忡的原因之一。

週一美股普遍上漲,PayPal 週一上漲 2.58%,收 257.17 美元;Square 上漲 5.47%,收 210.95 美元。

Coinbase’s stock rises as crypto platform says U.S. customers can use debit card in Apple, Google wallets

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Shares of crypto broker Coinbase climbed Tuesday, even as the broader digital-asset complex was sluggish following a listless weekend’s trading for crypto.

At last check, Coinbase shares COIN, +1.01% were up by about 2% as the U.S.’s largest crypto platform said that it had forged an agreement with Apple Inc. AAPL, -0.26% and Google GOOG, +0.76% GOOGL, +1.03% mobile payment networks, whereby U.S. customers can now use its branded debit card in Google and Apple wallet applications for payments.

What Changed in Crypto Markets While You Were Sleeping — June 1

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BeInCrypto presents our daily morning roundup of crypto news and market changes that you might have missed while you were asleep.

Bitcoin update

The month of May was bearish for BTC, recording a loss of 35.59%. This was the second-highest monthly decrease ever recorded, only trailing that of November 2018, when the price decreased by 37%.

Technical indicators provide mixed readings.

In the two previous bull cycles, the RSI made two tops in the overbought territory prior to the end of the bull run. In the current phase, it has only made one top.

However, an RSI cross below 70 marked an end to the bull cycle in both 2013 and 2017 (red icons). Currently, the monthly RSI has just crossed below 70.

Altcoin movers

The total crypto market cap has regained 5% to $1.64 trillion today amid a slight recovery. At the time of press, every cryptocurrency in the top-50 is in the green on the day. The fifth-ranked Binance Coin (BNB) is less than $800 million from overtaking the #4 spot from Cardano (ADA).

Today’s biggest altcoin gainer is Kusama (KSM). The altcoin is trading up 14% on the day is up by 10% over the past week.

Helium (HNT) is the biggest altcoin loser, though it’s only down by 1.7%. At the time of press, HNT was only one of four cryptocurrencies in the top-100 that were experiencing a loss on the day.

In other crypto news

The 0x platform has expanded into the Polygon ecosystem to bring Layer 2 scaling to decentralized exchange liquidity aggregation.

Matter Labs has launched a testnet for the second iteration of its zkSync scaling solution, which has taken another step towards solving the Ethereum blockchain trilemma.