Latest Ethereum price and analysis (ETH to USD)
Ethereum has been left reeling following a devastating sell-off that has seen it break the $1,875 level of support.
It is now attempting to cling onto the $1,720 level which, to its credit, has provided bounces on three occasions over the past three weeks.
If continuation to the downside is initiated, Ethereum would then confirm a four-month low with price targets beginning to emerge back down at $1,550 and $1,400.
From a macro perspective, Ethereum has now confirmed a series of lower highs and lower lows. This behaviour is typical of a bear market as interest consistently wanes throughout the cycle.
ETHUSD chart by TradingView
The timing of this recent sell-off has coincided with a slump in all capital markets, with stock market indices and Bitcoin all faltering amid a rise in Covid-19 cases around the world.
It’s worth noting that while Ethereum and the wider cryptocurrency market is delicately poised for a period of more downside, it would not be a shock for the market to go against the grain and climb back into the $2,000 region for a re-test before moving lower.
Much of it will also depend on the trajectory of Bitcoin, which itself has broken the key level of $30,000. At the time of writing it is trading at $29,730 as it awaits the open of the stock market at 9:30am EST.
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About Ethereum
Ethereum was launched by Vitalik Buterin on July 30 2015. He was a researcher and programmer working on Bitcoin Magazine and he initially wrote a whitepaper in 2013 describing Ethereum.
Buterin had proposed that Bitcoin needed a scripting language. He decided to develop a new platform with a more general scripting language when he couldn’t get buy in to his proposal.
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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Underperforms Ether; Crypto Tax Ahead?
Cryptocurrencies were mostly higher on Monday as bullish sentiment continues into August. Bitcoin underperformed other major cryptocurrencies and is down about 3% over the past 24 hours compared to a 2% rise in ether over the same period.
Buyers remain active despite ongoing regulatory crackdowns in China. On Sunday, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) said it will keep applying high regulatory pressure on crypto trading, mostly due to concerns about financial risk.
Traders are also digesting the 58-page “Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act, proposed by Rep. Don Beyer’s (D-Va.), seeking to create an exhaustive regulatory regime for digital assets. The U.S. Senate is also advancing a $1 trillion infrastructure bill with a crypto tax provision, which could be a source of market anxiety.
For now, a breakdown on intraday charts “suggests that bitcoin may fall back to the mid-range at around $36,000, or lower, before the rally continues,” wrote Marcus Sotiriou, trader at the U.K.-based digital asset broker GlobalBlock, in an email to CoinDesk
Latest prices
Cryptocurrencies:
Traditional markets:
S&P 500: 4387.15, -0.18%
Gold: $1812.9, +1.44%
10-year Treasury yield closed 1.173%, compared with 1.236% on Friday.
Meme stock rotation
Over the past month, popular “meme stocks” have sold off as bitcoin rallied. This inverse relationship was noted in The Daily Shot newsletter a few months ago, and indicates a pattern of buying and selling across high yielding traditional and crypto markets.
It is possible that traders will flock to meme stocks if bitcoin pulls back from overbought levels.
Chart shows the divergence between meme stocks and bitcoin performance in July. Source: The Daily Shot
Bitcoin call buying
The bitcoin options market has been heavily skewed towards call buying over the past month, which could signal the return of bullish sentiment.
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“Now that the large spot price sell-off already occurred in May, there aren’t as many gains to be protected via put buying,” wrote Gregoire Magadini, co-founder and CEO of Genesis Volatility, in a Telegram chat.
“Combine the lower spot prices with lingering high-ish implied volatility, and bitcoin puts start to look very unattractive,” Magadini wrote. “It makes more sense to buy the dip with call structures than to position oneself using puts.”
The chart below shows the bitcoin put/call ratio at the lowest level since January, which preceded a brief 25% pullback in the bitcoin spot price.
Chart shows bitcoin options put/call ratio. Source: Skew
Crypto fund outflows continue
Digital-asset investment products had their fourth straight week of net outflows, even as cryptocurrency markets staged their biggest rally since early this year.
Net outflows across all digital-asset funds totaled $19.5 million, according to a report Monday by CoinShares.
Bitcoin-focused funds had outflows totaling $19.7 million, partly offset by net inflows to funds focused on other categories, including multi-asset funds, wrote CoinDesk’s Lyllah Ledesma.
Chart shows weekly digital asset fund flows. Source: CoinShares
July crypto comeback
Cryptocurrencies rebounded in July after a sluggish May and June. AAVE, an open-source and non-custodial protocol that runs on the Ethereum blockchain, outperformed major crypto currencies with a 33% gain in July. Bitcoin was not far behind with a 20% gain compared to a 12% gain in ether.
Chart shows July returns for the CoinDesk 20. Source: CoinDesk Research
Ether developments
Ether looks to extend its record daily winning streak in the run-up to a planned upgrade on Ethereum’s blockchain that could significantly reduce the cryptocurrency’s supply growth.
Aside from bitcoin’s price recovery from $30,000, ether may have received a boost from Ethereum’s upcoming 11th backward-incompatible upgrade, or hard fork, slated to happen on Aug. 4, CoinDesk’s Omkar Godbole reports.
The so-called London hard fork contains four Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIP), of which EIP-1559 will activate a mechanism that would burn a portion of fees paid to miners. Once it takes effect, increased network usage will result in a higher amount of ETH being burned, thereby curbing the cryptocurrency’s supply growth over time.
Meanwhile, 27 of 40, or 68%, of crypto experts surveyed by Finder believe that ether will one day overtake bitcoin as the largest cryptocurrency by market cap; 58% of the panelists believe that the “flippening” could happen within the next five years.
The price of ether is expected to reach $4,596 per ETH by the end of this year, according to the average forecast from 27 experts on Finder’s panel who gave their price predictions.
Relevant news:
Other markets
Most digital assets on CoinDesk 20 ended lower on Monday.
Notable winners of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
Bitcoin, Dogecoin Remain Flat While Ethereum Surges For 12th Straight Day
Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) showed strength on Monday evening even as the global cryptocurrency market cap remained flat with a 0.14% decline to $1.6 trillion.
What Happened: The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap traded 2.66% higher at $2,625.06 over 24 hours. For the week, ETH is up 17.38%.
See Also: How To Buy Ethereum (ETH)
The largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) traded 1.25% lower at $39,377.65. Over the last seven days, BTC has risen 5.42%.
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) traded 0.33% lower at $0.20 over 24 hours. Over the last seven days, DOGE has marginally declined by 0.09%.
The Shiba Inu-themed coin rose 0.94% against BTC and fell 2.9% against ETH over 24 hours.
THORChain (CRYPTO: RUNE) — the token of a decentralized cross-chain liquidity protocol — and Elrond (CRYPTO: EGLD) — the native coin of a blockchain with a scalability focus — were among the top gainers over 24 hours.
RUNE and EGLD rose 24.81% and 17.3% over 24 hours to $7.47 and $101.67 respectively. Over the week RUNE spiked 90.17% and EGLD 17.6%.
Other notable gainers over 24 hours included Bitcoin Gold (CRYPTO: BTG), Chainlink (CRYPTO: LINK), and Tezos (CRYPTO: XTZ).
BTG shot up 15.91% at $58.17, LINK traded 8.94% higher at $23.92 and XTZ traded 7.08% higher at $3.15 in the period.
Why It Matters: Ethereum has rallied for 12 straight days, which is the longest continuous period ever, noted data science company IntoTheBlock on Twitter.
#Ethereum has notched a 12-day winning streak, the longest ever The IOMAP indicator reveals that $ETH is sitting on strong support while facing the last 2 key levels of on-chain resistance on its path to $3k once again Between $2,598 and $2,753, 1.19m addresses bought 2.03m ETH pic.twitter.com/KAP3y0V94i — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) August 2, 2021
The surge in the Vitalik Buterin co-created cryptocurrency comes ahead of the London hard fork reportedly slated for August 4, as per a Coindesk report.
“The coin has trailed an uptrend from the weekend, and we may see this brewing positive sentiment over the coin shoot its price to $3,000 in the coming days/weeks following the update,” said payments firm Mercuryo’s Chief Operating Officer Greg Waisman.
See Also: Cathie Wood’s Ark Says Bitcoin Recovery Seems To Have Been Catalyzed By Elon Musk
Meanwhile, an under-debated bipartisan infrastructure bill in the Senate, which is to be financed in part by cryptocurrency transactions, is casting a long shadow over the market.
Even though the bill’s language has been upgraded, the ambiguity on the definition of brokers is causing significant consternation in the cryptocurrency universe.
Read Next: Is Now The Time To Buy Ethereum As London Hard Fork Draws Closer?