Ethereum hits new record high above $3,400, extending its more than 300% rally this year
GUANGZHOU, China — Ether, the digital coin linked to the Ethereum blockchain, hit an all-time high of $3,456.57 as the cryptocurrency extends a rally that has seen its price gain over 350% this year.
The digital coin pared some of those gains in Tuesday morning trade in London and was trading at $3,369.74 at 11:20 a.m., according to CoinDesk data.
Interest in cryptocurrencies has surged over the past year with bitcoin continuously pushing new record highs. A number of factors including rising institutional interest and major companies such as Tesla buying the digital coin have been credited with its rise.
Bitcoin has been described as “digital gold” or a store of value in times of geopolitical tumult or financial market volatility as well as a hedge against inflation.
But Ethereum is different. It acts more as a platform that developers can build apps on. Ethereum is the name of the network or underlying blockchain technology, while ether is the digital currency used to power the platform.
‘Speculative excess’: ethereum finds new peak in sizzling crypto market
Bloomberg
(Bloomberg) – A week that could set in motion the eventual collapse of the 314-year union between England and Scotland is concentrating City trading desks on market disasters ahead.As Scots enter a May 6 vote pitched on whether there should be a second independence referendum, fund managers and sell-side strategists see potential for massive chaos across the U.K.’s economic landscape in the years to come. Yet in an echo of the early days of the Brexit poll, few are hedging for this disruptive prospect.While the stakes could hardly be higher, it’s not clear the U.K. government will agree to another referendum, even if pro-independence parties win a majority on Thursday. But with the vote stirring uneasy memories of Britain’s split from the European Union, fund managers are dusting off old playbooks for how to trade a binary risk event where timing is everything.“You’d have massive uncertainty, financial chaos and recession,” and a 10% devaluation of the pound, said Mark Nash, a money manager at Jupiter Investment Management.Nash isn’t hedging such a scenario yet – and neither is the market. The median of forecasts in a Bloomberg survey has the pound holding at $1.39 through June.Still, a handful of investment analysts have ventured forth bearish calls.Strategists at Credit Agricole SA recommend shorting the pound versus the dollar, with political risk over Scottish independence among the reasons.Barclays Plc abandoned a call to go long on the pound versus the euro on the potential for pre-election volatility.UBS Group AG credit strategists cut their outlook on a select group of U.K. bank bonds to neutral from overweight, warning that the “long U.K. trade” in credit could unravel on referendum risk.One thing is for certain: if things escalate, money managers will need to move fast. Odds show a repeat of the 2014 referendum, where Scotland voted to remain, would be too close to call.“Markets ignore things and ignore things and ignore and then suddenly panic. I have a feeling that is quite likely to happen with the Scottish independence issue,” said Jane Foley, head of currency strategy at Rabobank. “What I’m telling our clients is to be aware that even though this may not impact the pound right now, it’d be foolhardy to ignore it because it might suddenly come into the market’s agenda.”Consequences of secession would be huge. Negotiations would be necessary over what currency an independent Scotland would use, whether it would take a share of the British national debt, and what trade arrangements it would have with the remainder of the U.K. The Scottish National Party also harbors ambitions to bring Scotland into the EU, a situation that would create huge border and trade tensions, if the problem of ring-fencing Northern Ireland in Brexit is any example.“I wonder whether markets have actually considered the full ramifications of this election,” said Julian Howard, director of multi-asset solutions at GAM Investments, whose portfolios are strategically positioned for a decline in sterling. “It would be a lot worse than Brexit as Scotland is much more closely stitched to the U.K. than Britain was into Europe. We’re talking since the 1700s rather than the 1970s.”Mr. BrexitThe domicile of financial institutions could also be contested. If they were to remain based on Edinburgh, Scottish banks would miss out on the support of the Bank of England’s quantitative easing program and become less creditworthy, according to Charlie Parker, managing director at boutique investment manager Albemarle Street Partners.It’s the kind of tail-risk event that makes careers, for those with enough foresight to get it right.At Nomura Holdings Inc., strategist Jordan Rochester was part of a team that developed a money-spinning model to help the bank call the 2014 referendum result early. His political analysis on the split from the EU then led him to be nicknamed Mr. Brexit. Now he says the pound could fall up to 6% if Scotland voted to leave, depending on how priced it was prior to the result.But even he isn’t worried about the election on Thursday itself, and says the pound could even be in line for gains if the SNP fails to win more than half of the seats, as some polls suggest. Still, the independence cause could prevail once Green votes are counted, and an actual referendum date could trigger heavy hedging.Read: Why Scotland’s Road to Independence Vote Is Rocky: QuickTake“The market will look at polling in a new referendum and treat it much more like a tighter vote than 2014 – when it was only last-minute scares, not months in advance,” Rochester said.Westminster would likely mount resistance to any plans to seek an independence vote, refusing to grant the Scottish parliament the permission to make it legally watertight. That leaves the potential for a lengthy constitutional quagmire over whether the Scottish parliament can call a legitimate referendum on its own.Even though the prospect of an invigorated Scottish break-away movement is scary for traders, derivatives markets remain relatively calm. The term structure of sterling’s implied volatility has become inverted, signaling angst over events on Thursday – though the cost of insuring swings is still below its 12-month average. Over the longer-term, five-year risk reversals in cable trade near their average since Bloomberg began compiling data in 2005.“The difficulty with assessing the impact of these events on markets is that even if we know they are on the horizon, we don’t know when markets will react and if in the end the status quo will prevail,” said Sheena Shah, currency strategist at Morgan Stanley. Her firm sees a 30% chance of a referendum by the end of 2024. “There are so many unknowns and follow-up hurdles.”(Updates options pricing in penultimate paragraph.)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2021 Bloomberg L.P.
Cryptocurrency Ether hits all-time high
Ether, the digital coin traded on the Ethereum blockchain and the world’s No. 2 cryptocurrency, hit a new all-time high of $3,456.67 (€2,877) on Tuesday, after breaking the $3,000-mark for the first time on Monday in a rally that could spell trouble for big brother Bitcoin.
After hitting the record high in Asian trading, Ether then fell 3% to $3,182.11 the same day.
The development is a change of pace in a year that has been largely focused on Bitcoin. Bolstered by growing institutional interest and pandemic-induced financial uncertainty, the world’s No. 1 cryptocurrency has gained 100% since January.
Riding the same trends, lesser-known Ether has quietly gained more than 360% over the same period. Ever more investors are betting that the blockchain technologies underpinning Ethereum will allow it to eventually overtake Bitcoin. The Ether/Bitcoin cross rate — that is, the exchange rate of two currencies as expressed in a third currency, like the US dollar — has risen more than 100% this year.
A contender for the crown
“At first, the rally was really led by Bitcoin because as a lot of the institutional investors came into the space, that would be their natural first port of call,” James Quinn, managing director at Q9 Capital, a Hong Kong cryptocurrency private wealth manager, told Reuters.
“But as the rally has matured over the last six months, you have DeFi and a lot of DeFi is built on ethereum.”
DeFi, short for Decentralized Finance, is a form of finance that relies on decentralized blockchain technology, as opposed to central financial intermediaries like banks. The technology uses “smart contracts,” which runs on the Ethereum blockchain. Ethereum can link the transactions to certain conditions, the so-called smart contracts. This technology has become the foundation for another blossoming digital asset — nonfungible tokens (NFTs).
Growing buzz around NFTs is another explanation for Ether’s moment in the spotlight.
NFTs function as a type of digital certificate of ownership for unique assets, like works of art, or even baseball cards or weapons used in computer games. When you buy or sell an NFT, a record of the exchange is stored on a shared ledger hosted on blockchain, the decentralized nature of which prevents forgery and fraud. This is similar to how cryptocurrencies work. Unlike cryptocurrencies, NFTs are underpinned by unique assets, making them nonfungible.
With NFTs, smart contracts can be created to, for example, automatically give an artist a share of future sales of the token. This functionality could offer greater potential than Bitcoin technology.
Ether meets EU
More traditional players are also hopping on the Ethereum train. Canada recently approved the launch of three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that will expose investors to Ether. This comes just a few months after the country gave the go-ahead for the world’s first ETF with Bitcoin exposure.
Last week, the European Investment Bank, the EU’s lending arm, announced that for the first time ever, it had used Ethereum blockchain technology to issue €100 million in two-year digital notes.
“These digital bonds will play a role in giving the Bank a quicker and more streamlined access to alternative sources of finance to boost finance for projects across the globe,” EIB Vice President Mourinho Felix said in a statement.
Watch video 06:07 NFTs explained: Why would anyone pay $600,000 for a cat meme?
NFTs on eBay?
On Monday, the CEO of eBay said the e-commerce website was looking into accepting cryptocurrencies and considering how to facilitate the buying and selling of NFTs on its platform.
“We’re exploring opportunities on how we can enable [NFTs] on eBay in an easy way,” eBay CEO Jamie Iannone told CNBC.
“Everything that’s collectible has been on eBay for decades and will continue to be for the next few decades.”
A growing number of companies, including Tesla and PayPal, have embraced the use of virtual currencies over the past year.
In the same way that many believe Bitcoin to be overvalued, Ether is also believed to be undervalued, Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at brokerage AvaTrade, told Reuters.
Ether currently has a market capitalization of around $364 billion, according to coindesk.com. The total value of all Bitcoin in circulation is just over $1 trillion. The oldest and most prominent cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, rose nearly 4% on Monday to $58,821.