狗狗幣Dogecoin「一個玩笑」如何玩到市值突破天際？

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與Bitcoin一樣，「狗狗幣」（Dogecoin）也是加密貨幣的一種，但在近日成為了熱門焦點，皆因其市值暴升。自年初至今，狗狗幣由1美分不到的價格急增至0.7美元的高位，整體市值接近900億美元，比通用汽車公司市值還要高。

到底這隻「小狗」有什麼強大魅力？升值比搭火箭還快？

狗狗幣的起源

狗狗幣創始於2013年，由兩名軟件工程師Billy Markus與Jackson Palmer創設。一開始這不過是一個用作諷刺Bitcoin比特幣的笑話，其標誌是一幅攝自柴犬的頭像，名稱以Doge取代Dog，添一點可愛的感覺。

儘管在2014年狗狗幣曾嘗試過用作籌款及集資，用作慈善及宣傳活動，但狗狗幣一直沒有實際用途，不被視為付款手段，交易金額亦相當細小。價格至2021年，也不過維持在1美分以下。

馬斯克的不停吹棒

直至2021年，狗狗幣才開始再次受到注目，其中一個是在2021年初的GameStop事件。在GameStop股票被持續軋空，股價被瘋狂推高後，價值幾乎等同於零的狗狗幣成為網絡討論區的焦點。與GameStop一樣，當時有大量的網民聲言要把狗狗幣「衝上太空」、「帶到月球」。

這「帶到月球」的承諾，讓狗狗幣在1月價格急升5倍。但真正讓狗狗幣突破天際，是來自Tesla的CEO馬斯克（Elon Musk）的追棒。

馬斯克自1月多次在其個人Twitter上張貼有關狗狗幣的留言，包括雜誌的改圖、動畫電影《獅子王》的改圖、狗狗幣登月的改圖等等。持續的吹棒讓人開始意識到這不僅只是個玩笑。

直到4月，馬斯克重申對狗狗幣的濃厚興趣，並示意會在5月8日出席全國廣播公司（NBC）的深夜喜劇秀《周六夜現場》（Saturday Night Live）為狗狗幣助威。這舉動令狗狗幣瞬速爆升，幣值自4月中不停飆升至今。

升跌無時價值隨時蒸發

不過，狗狗幣與其他加密貨幣一樣，價格波動極大且無法預測。以Bitcoin為例，Bitcoin價格在自2020年尾持續暴漲，價值由年尾的2萬美元急升至今的接近6萬美元。但價錢已自3月開始在高位持續上落，面對電腦的「挖礦潮」出現疲累，誰也無法預料何時下挫，而且當發生時，往往是暴瀉。

加密貨幣交易公司Blockchain的研究負責人希勒曼（Garrick Hileman）警告，狗狗幣的價值隨時蒸發：「特別當這貨幣本來就是個玩笑。」警告投資者要對所有加密貨幣提高警覺。

Elon Musk 宣佈和「Dogecoin 狗狗幣」開發人員展開合作

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Dogecoin – Daily Tech Analysis –June 3rd, 2021

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Dogecoin

Dogecoin rallied by 14.49% on Wednesday. Following on from a 13.57% jump on Tuesday, Dogecoin ended the day at $0.4235.

A mixed start to the day saw Dogecoin fall to an early morning intraday low $0.3513 before making a move.

Steering clear of the first major support level at $0.3257, Dogecoin rallied to a late morning intraday high $0.4469.

Dogecoin broke through the first major resistance level at $0.3995 and the second major resistance level at $0.4292.

Falling short of $0.45 levels, however, Dogecoin fell back through the major resistance levels before finding late support.

Late in the day, Dogecoin broke back through the first and second major resistance levels to revisit $0.43 levels.

Easing back in the final hour, however, Dogecoin fell back through the second major resistance level at $0.4292 to end the day at $0.423 levels

At the time of writing, Dogecoin was down by 2.53% to $0.4128. A mixed start to the day saw Dogecoin rise to an early morning high $0.4295 before falling to a low $0.4101.

Dogecoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

For the day ahead

Dogecoin would need to avoid the $0.4072 pivot to bring the 38.2% FIB of $0.4618 and the first major resistance level at $0.4632 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Dogecoin to break out from Wednesday’s high $0.4469.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the 38.2% FIB and the first major resistance level would likely cap any upside.

In the event of another breakout, Dogecoin could test resistance at $0.50 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $0.5028.

A fall through the $0.4072 pivot would bring the first major support level at $0.3676 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Dogecoin should steer clear of sub-$0.35 levels. The second major support level sits at $0.3116.

A sustained fall through the 62% FIB of $0.2882 would form a near-term bearish trend from 8th May’s swing hi $0.7427.

Story continues

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.3676

Pivot Level: $0.4072

First Major Resistance Level: $0.4632

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.5691

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $0.4618

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.2882

Please let us know what you think in the comments below.

Thanks, Bob

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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