載舟覆舟!Crypto、PayPal走勢大相逕庭 比特幣是罪魁禍首
PayPal (PYPL-US) 和 Square (SQ-US) 都靠比特幣吸引顧客使用其 app 並維持其參與度,但兩家股價走勢卻大相逕庭,自從比特幣一個月前開始下跌以來,Square 股價就表現不佳。
如果加密貨幣持續熊市,兩家股價可能都會苦不堪言,但 Square 可能會面臨更多壓力,部分原因是該公司在散戶投資者中與比特幣的聯繫更為緊密。
兩種支付 app 都可輕鬆買賣和儲值加密貨幣,PayPal 在其 app 上提供數種加密貨幣,而 Square 只供應比特幣。這兩家作法像經紀人,賺取的是每筆交易的手續費和利潤。
來自加密貨幣的營收淨額並非其整體業務的大部分。MoffettNathanson 分析師 Lisa Ellis 指出,PayPal 今年營收約只因加密貨幣交易增加 2%,在營收總額 260 億美元中僅占 3 億至 6 億美元。
Square 第一季營收總額 51 億美元,其中比特幣營收 35 億美元。Square 的會計方式是:扣除購買比特幣的成本,在當季 9.64 億美元毛利總額中,只計入這些交易 7500 萬美元的毛利。
雖然加密貨幣的獲利非常微薄,但這兩家支付公司都將加密貨幣交易視為攏絡顧客並提高 app 參與度的一種手段。
Ellis 指出,「他們的加密貨幣用戶一天會多次打開 app 確認價格,這就讓公司有機會出售其他服務。」
Square 與加密貨幣聯繫更緊密,但部分原因是其創辦人兼執行長 Jack Dorsey 是加密貨幣狂粉,近日也曾在推特上表示,「比特幣使一切變得更好。」Square 過去幾季資產負債表上認列投資比特幣 2.2 億美元,現已對該投資進行減值。
加密貨幣低迷顯然對 Square 的影響更大。在過去的一個月中,Square 股價下跌約 17%,而 PayPal 股價僅下跌 4%。
但加密貨幣並非 Square 唯一苦痛來源,投資者逃離高倍數成長股的浪潮也重創 Square,反映投資者在價格上反映預期上升的通膨,這點會降低未來收益的現值。
根據未來 12 個月的估算,Square 現行股價是企業價值倍數 (EV/Ebitda) 的 113 倍,PayPal 則為 43 倍,對比其他同業如 Visa (V-US) 和 Mastercard (MA-US) 僅 27 倍至 30 倍。
Ellis 談到 PayPal 和 Square 時說,「他們是我兩家長期最愛的支付公司,但實際考慮上來說,機構投資者如果擔憂長期通膨,就會對這些高倍數股覺得反感。」
隨著比特幣價格的飆升,投資者也迷戀上這些股票,但水能載舟也會覆舟,如今比特幣和其他加密貨幣恐怕也是令他們憂心忡忡的原因之一。
週一美股普遍上漲,PayPal 週一上漲 2.58%,收 257.17 美元;Square 上漲 5.47%,收 210.95 美元。
These were the top crypto winners and losers in May
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Shiba Inu token was the biggest winner among the top 300 crypto-assets during the volatile month of May, according to Cryptorank.io.
While the value of SHIBA tokens are down 50 per cent in past fortnight, they were still up 285 per cent for the month.
Shiba coins were trading at US0.0000799c yesterday evening, up 0.8 per cent for the day.
Telcoin, the No. 59 crypto, was the second-biggest gainer, rising 220 per cent. The token is used for international remittances.
Ergo, a defi blockchain that’s the 123rd crypto, finished May up 202 per cent.
Polygon (MATIC) was up 130 per cent and Ethereum Classic up 80 per cent.
Just 26 of the top 300 coins were set to finish the month as crypto winners following the May 19 crash.
On the flip side, Sonm (SNM) was the worst performer in May, at least among the top 300 cryptocurrencies. SNM tokens dropped 78 per cent in May, although they are still up 30-fold for the year.
The No. 283 crypto, Sonm describes itself as a decentralised fog computing platform.
“Sonm provides cloud services based on distributed customer level hardware including PCs, mining equipment, and servers,” its website says.
“You can either rent out your hardware or use someone’s computing power for your needs.”
Prometeus was the second-worst performer, falling 78 per cent.
“Prometeus Network fuels people-owned data markets, introducing new ways to interact with data and profit from it,” the project’s website says.
Rank Coin 7 day performance 14 day Month YTD 29 SHIBA INU (SHIB) -4.00% -50.70% 285.90% 58 Telcoin (TEL) 37.30% -18.40% 220.40% 10285.60% 121 Ergo (ERG) 43.00% -3.76% 208.80% 5741.00% 120 Tenset (10SET) 43.50% 41.60% 194.10% 14 Polygon (MATIC) 29.00% 16.10% 130.40% 9179.70% 257 Evolution Finance (EVN) 8.48% -46.30% 97.50% 18 Ethereum Classic (ETC) 20.50% -27.20% 80.50% 851.20% 137 iExec RLC (RLC) -13.20% -37.60% 60.20% 1180.60% 139 TitanSwap (TITAN) 20.50% -5.76% 43.60% 258 Cardstarter (CARDS) -26.30% -27.70% 40.50% 283 SONM (SNM) 13.00% -42.90% -78.20% 2986.70% 165 Prometeus (PROM) 50.30% -36.30% -77.80% 1500.90% 153 Content Value Network (CVNT) -5.78% -48.10% -77.00% 298 Atari Token (ATRI) -16.70% -49.90% -73.70% 147 Venus (XVS) 7.54% -65.50% -71.90% 136 Dent (DENT) 7.60% -45.80% -68.50% 1771.10% 206 ZKSwap (ZKS) 7.04% -43.90% -68.30% 162 IoTeX (IOTX) -21.70% -39.00% -66.90% 440.70% 288 Badger DAO (BADGER) 4.62% -54.60% -66.20% 152 Conflux Network (CFX) -0.60% -46.00% -65.10% 291 KardiaChain (KAI) -16.10% -46.10% -64.70% 1655.70%
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Crypto wrap: WazirX soars after India unbans token; Mina hits ATH on exchange listings
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A utility token issued by India’s leading cryptocurrency exchange has soared after the country’s cryptocurrency community won a battle for acceptance with the banking system.
At 11.22am AEST, WazirX‘s WRX token was up more than 50 per cent to US$1.96, recovering almost fully from the March 19 crash. Earlier this morning it was trading as high as US$2.26.
The No. 96 crypto, WRX is a utility coin used to pay for fees on the Mumbai-based, Binance-owned WazirX exchange.
The gains came after the Reserve Bank of India advised India’s banks that they couldn’t rely on an order that the central bank issued in April 2018 banning cryptocurrency sales.
That order was struck down by the country’s Supreme Court in March 2020, but some banks were still reportedly citing it in emails to customers deplatforming them for buying crypto.
#IndiaWantsCrypto was the second-place trending item on Twitter in India after RBI’s advisory.
Great to see such clear directions from the RBI. A Great win for Crypto Family in India. Lets Rock!!!! #IndiaWantsCrypto pic.twitter.com/XjKAqqdcIW — Vicky Kudi (@KudiVicky) May 31, 2021
WazirX chief executive Nischal Shetty had been asking the RBI to intervene, saying that banking issues were hurting an industry that employs over 1,000 Indians in more than 350 startups.
“India cannot sit on the sidelines and miss this innovation. We cannot lose our software edge as a nation,” he tweeted last week.
Mina Protocol at all-time high on new listings
Mina Protocol (MINA) was the second-best top 100 gainer this morning, and also the second top 100 coin to hit an all-time high since the May 19 crash. Helium (HNT) did so over the weekend.
Mina was trading at US$8.97 at noon AEST after being newly listed on OKEx and Kraken.
The No. 79 crypto, Mina uses a cryptographic tool known as zk-SNARKS to compress the size of its blockchain to just 22kb, compared to hundreds of gigabytes on Bitcoin and Ethereum. That means that connecting to the Mina network is much quicker.
While legacy #blockchains are 300GB+, Mina stays light at ~22kb — the size of a couple of tweets. This lets Mina stay accessible to anyone. Watch this #MinaSnapshot to learn more and don’t forget to subscribe. There are more videos coming your way soon!https://t.co/tnDF8Y7nWi — Mina Protocol (@MinaProtocol) May 17, 2021
The San Fransisco-based project was once known as the Coda Protocol but rebranded in September after a trademark lawsuit.
BTC hits four-day high; nearly everything gains
Meanwhile, Bitcoin had pulled back slightly after hitting a four-day high of US$37,836 at 10:40am AEST.
But BTC was still up 6.5 per cent to US$37,929 ($47,500) at 12.20AEST.
Ethereum was changing hands at US$2,628 ($3,394), up 14.5 per cent from 24 hours ago.
More than three dozen of the top 100 coins were up more than 10 per cent, with Theta Fuel, Aave and Kusama (and the aforementioned WazirX and Mina) up by more than 20 per cent.
Of the top 100 tokens, only stablecoins were in the red. (Such tokens are inversely correlated to the market, often trading for slightly less than their US$1 peg when most coins are gaining).
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