斷電、禁交易所，中國接連出招但比特幣似乎影響不大

斷電、禁交易所，中國接連出招但比特幣似乎影響不大

儘管面臨中國政府多方圍剿，比特幣一度面臨重擊，但經過一個月，一切似乎和中國政府的盤算不盡相同。

為了讓中國數位人民幣業務順利開展，中國政府有計畫的一步步進攻比特幣，在多處政府連手斷電礦場後，比特幣全網算力腰斬，幣值也連續崩跌，許多人甚至就像中國政府期望的那樣，認為比特幣終究要走向泡沫化。

然而比特幣精巧的設計，反而讓中國政府無所施力。當比特幣價值增長，越來越多人覺得有利可圖而投入挖礦以獲取比特幣時，比特幣網路的挖礦難度也會隨之提升，迫使礦工必須要付出更多資源挖礦，這樣的機制有助於比特幣網路保持平衡。

相反地，當全網算力大幅下降，礦工大量退出時，比特幣的挖礦難度也會隨之下降，誘使更多人投入挖礦。在中國政府於 2021 年六月大舉斷電礦場後，比特幣全網算力腰斬，隨之而來的是難度迅速下降。

原先貢獻全網算力近 60% 的中國礦工退出後，比特幣挖礦難度在一週內下降了約 30%，簡單來說，雖然比特幣幣值因此下跌了 40%，但礦工要獲取比特幣所需付出的資源也下降了 30%。一來一往之間，中國政府斷電礦場的政策，反而是將原本由中國礦工壟斷的挖礦事業，拱手讓給海外礦工，而且消耗的電力還更少。

▲ 比特幣算力從谷底又慢慢回升。（ Source：Bitinfochart）

2021 年 5 月，比特幣全網算力來到歷史高峰 186MTH/s（每秒百萬雜湊值），在中國政府介入後，算力驟降至兩年來最低的 68MTH/s，然而經歷一個月，全球礦工們積極搶下中國讓出的機會，順勢搶購中國礦工便宜出售的礦機，目前算力已回升到 110MTH/s。

除了礦工，雖然中國政府明文禁止交易所，但中國用戶並未消失市場，幣安（Binance）與火幣（Huobi）依然提供中國用戶交易管道，想阻止這些去中心化交易所，光靠中國網路長城還不夠，恐怕還需要金融長城，禁止中國人民將人民幣兌換成他國法幣，才有可能禁絕交易所生存空間。

中國政府打壓無效，最有力的證據就是在過去一個月，這些與中國高度相關的亞洲交易所，包括幣安、火幣與 OKEx，依然是全球最活絡的加密貨幣交易所。相比之下，今年風光上市的美國交易所 Coinbase 交易量，都遠遠落後於這些中國政府認為不合法的交易所。

不可否認，中國政府對於挖礦和交易所的禁令，都對比特幣造成一定程度的衝擊，但短短不到兩個月，比特幣算力與幣值明顯恢復良好，超出許多人預期。過去兩週比特幣上漲超過 40%，幣值從跌破 3 萬美元到超過 4 萬美元，如今落在 38,994 美元，應該讓前陣子接手中國礦機的礦工樂不可支。

（首圖來源：Pixabay）

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Technical Analyst Expects Bitcoin Bull Market Will Peak In October, Predicts Altcoins Will Triple If BTC Hits $100K

What Happened: Kevin Wadsworth, technical analyst and co-founder of Northstar & Badcharts, has predicted this Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) bull market will reach its peak in October.

In an interview with Kitco News on Monday, Wadsworth said he believes that the crypto bull market will likely conclude before the end of the year.

“All the crypto charts I’ve been drawing and looking at vary a little bit in timing between the third week of September and some of them perhaps into mid-October or even late October, so there’s this sort of four-week window there between late September and late October where I’d be looking for the crypto bull market to reach its peak," he said.

Part of this belief comes from the Bitcoin dominance chart, which Wadsworth believes gives a “two-week warning” to signal the end of the bull market.

Read Also: Institutional Investors Now Hold B Of Bitcoin: Report

“With Bitcoin, perhaps my target is somewhere close to $100,000. Anything above that is a huge bonus,” he said.

“If we get to a $100,000 from here, which would be roughly a double, then I’d expect the altcoins, Ethereum and the rest, to triple, quadruple, and some of them even more than that.”

Price Action: Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has consolidated between $47,000 and $50,000.

The leading digital asset lost 1.13% over the past 24-hours and was trading at a price of $47,320 at the time of writing.

Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has gained 40% month-to-date.

At press time, the leading altcoin was trading at a price of $3,377, gaining 6.31% over the past 24-hours.

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